November 1st 2008

Quote Of The Day: Tightening Polls Edition

“Joe the Plumber may get his license after all.” – Pollster John Zogby


I

n the final days of the campaign, the numbers are closing, with Zogby – who skewed toward Kerry in 2004 – summarizing his most recent results with the quote above, and:

“Is McCain making a move? The three-day average holds steady, but McCain outpolled Obama today, 48% to 47%. He is beginning to cut into Obama’s lead among independents, is now leading among blue collar voters, has strengthened his lead among investors and among men, and is walloping Obama among NASCAR voters. Joe the Plumber may get his license after all. “Obama’s lead among women declined, and it looks like it is occurring because McCain is solidifying the support of conservative women, which is something we saw last time McCain picked up in the polls. If McCain has a good day tomorrow, we will eliminate Obama’s good day three days ago, and we could really see some tightening in this rolling average. But for now, hold on.”

Independents = the wiggle room in a tight election. They were leaning Obama before, now they’re leaning McCain.

Blue collar voters = the target of Obama’s tax cuts, and they’re not buying it. They are worried about their jobs and are wary of the disruption Obama’s economic plan will cause – and lots of them dream of being rich one day and don’t like Obama’s disincentives.

Investors = McCain’s on the right side of what’s become the critical question of the campaign: Who do you trust to fix the economy.

Men = Is anyone surprised? Anyone? Anyone?

Women = We’ll forgive any conservative women that were leaning towards Obama. Welcome back; we’re sorry for your terrible experience.

If McCain has a good day tomorrow = The media is full of stories on Obama’s aunt’s illegal status, bringing the long dormant immigration issue back. Good for McCain.

Ah! The gut-wrenching angst of an incredibly close and important campaign!

Share

2 Comments »

September 4th 2008

As Expected, Sarah Wowed ‘Em


UPDATED

T

he same tingle of excitement I felt when I first read of Sarah Palin in February hit the nation yesterday, just as I figured it would.

Joe vs. Sarah? No contest. Sarah pulled in 37.2 million viewers, 55 percent more than Biden’s convention speech, according to The Live Feed.

Hillary vs. Sarah? Don’t even bother. Over 5 million more females watched Sarah than watched Bill’s wife, formerly known as the keeper of the womens’ vote.

Barack vs. Sarah? The One almost got toppled from the pedestal he’s spent so long trying to convince us he deserves to stand on, eking out a paper-thin three percent lead in the viewership race. The consummate campaigner who’s had over a year to build up support and anticipation was almost knocked off by the new girl on the block – incredible!

Update: AP reports that with PBS added, Palin outdrew Obama by about 2 million, toppling the pedestal.

So, what of all the attacks on Palin? Can the Dems and their MSM buddies pat themselves on the back for a job well done? Not hardly, says Rasmussen:

Over half of U.S. voters (51%) think reporters are trying to hurt Sarah Palin with their news coverage, and 24% say those stories make them more likely to vote for Republican presidential candidate John McCain in November.

Ouch. But there’s got to be some good news for the Palin-smearers; surely they’ve at least cut her down with the whole experience thing, right? No; again Rasmussen:

Thirty-nine percent (39%) also believe the GOP vice presidential nominee has better experience to be president of the United States than Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama.

You mean better than Biden? Nope, no typo – better than Obama. So if you combine McCain’s experience and Palin’s … whoa, Dude.

Now finally, here’s a poll that was taken after the Palin announcement and the little talk she gave in Dayton, but before last night’s teleprompter-free stem-winder:

(CBS) The presidential race between Barack Obama and John McCain is now even at 42 percent, according to a new CBS News poll conducted Monday-Wednesday of this week. Twelve percent are undecided according to the poll, and one percent said they wouldn’t vote.

This is in contrast to a poll conducted last weekend, where the Obama-Biden ticket led McCain-Palin by eight points, 48 percent to 40 percent.

Despite Obama’s reportedly incredible speech (I would give it a C+/B-), he’s lost his lead over the mere announcement and initial reaction to Palin. Is he feeling Hillaryesque? “I had this thing! I deserve this thing! Who’s this unknown @#$& to knock me off?”

For an indication of what’s going to happen when polls like this are re-run and pick up reaction to Palin’s speech, let’s look to the little reader poll next to the news on the CBS poll story, which asks, “How would you grade Sarah Palin’s speech?” I normally don’t give these sorts of polls any credence, but since this one’s on a CBS site that’s presenting polling news, it’s probably running fairly neutral, or maybe a tad left of neutral. The results:

A – 63.9%

B – 4.7%

C – 7%

D – 6.5%

F – 18%

In our 50/50 nation, do you recall seeing many polls where the Dem partisans can only muster together 18 percent?

I think the smearers can file away that “Palin’s going to resign soon” meme in the deepest trash can they can find.

Share

1 Comment »

With Obama winning the presidency by seven percent, we can't blame the media. Their laudatory coverage and refusal to extensively probe into Obama's background and [lack of] experience was at best responsible for five percent of his vote, the pundits tell us. Here is a compilation of over 100 significant instances of pro-Obama/anti-McCain bias during the 2008 campaign.

For all 'Media Bias 2008' – Click Here