March 23rd 2009
Of Bonuses, Bailouts And Hail Marys

T
im Geithner is holding his breath. Will his announced new financial plan result in a repeat of his last debacle, when Wall Street roller-coastered downward after he ineptly punted on his plans? Early signs – the Dow opening up nearly three percent, Tokyo, Hong Kong, U.S. market futures up – indicate no, he won’t single-handedly destroy billions in wealth today.
But is it a good plan? The test of any plan is simple enough: Will people accept it and get on board, or in this case, will financial institutions bundle toxic assets – now called “legacy” assets in a ridiculous bit of sophomoric word play – and sell them through a federal program? Here, Geithner has real problems. The AIG bonus bruhaha, complete with radical zealots on bus tours by AIG exec’s homes, has made a lot of financial institutions wary of taking public funds – and the new plan has disincentives in spades. It’s not in Geithner’s op/ed, but Bloomberg reports:
Geithner will also announce plans later this week to ask Congress to give the Treasury and the Fed authority to step in and more easily tackle problems at systemically important financial institutions that are in danger of failing. Such powers would give the government the ability to limit payments to creditors, break contracts on executive compensation commitments and provide guarantees on particular categories of debt for companies that need bailing out.
It’s not clear whether these heavy-handed new powers will be wielded on all financial institutions (gasp!) or only on those who cozy up to the feds on the new plan (suckers!), but it’s evident that Obamarx and Geithner see statism as the solution to the economic problem – we give you guarantees, you give us power. I don’t think Wall Street is about to go cowardly into the night, giving up authority and decision-making to the folks who run Amtrak, the post office and social security.
Paul Krugman doesn’t see it that way. Of course, he sees too much Bush in the plan:
Over the weekend The Times and other newspapers reported leaked details about the Obama administration’s bank rescue plan, which is to be officially released this week. If the reports are correct, Tim Geithner, the Treasury secretary, has persuaded President Obama to recycle Bush administration policy — specifically, the “cash for trash” plan proposed, then abandoned, six months ago by then-Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson.
This is more than disappointing. In fact, it fills me with a sense of despair.
That’s hardly the lead Geithner was hoping for. Krugman says the new plan is just rehash number three of the first Obama/Geithner plan, with more bells and whistles, as if they were obsessed with one idea and unable to move on to another. He can’t quite get his fingers to type the words “free market,” but his advice to Obama: Don’t subsidize the assets as this plan does; let the market price them, get them off the books no matter the cost, and move on.
That’s far too foreign to Obama’s belief system, so he’s let his Treasury Sec move a plan forward that is a high risk one for the admin. If it doesn’t work out, Obama will have wasted time the economy doesn’t have to lose.

The now-shuttered Chicago Republic Windows and Doors factory is Prez-Elect Obama’s home turf: Its workers are the sort of folks he worked with in his halcyon community organizer days, and its owners were the sort of folks he worked against.
G.M., the world’s largest automaker for decades, said Tuesday that it was in such dire straits that it would deeply cut jobs, factories, brands and executive pay as part of its plea to get $12 billion in federal loans and an additional $6 billion line of credit. …
RUISLIP, England — When Bruce Hardy’s kidney cancer spread to his lung, his doctor recommended an expensive new pill from Pfizer. But Mr. Hardy is British, and the British health authorities refused to buy the medicine. His wife has been distraught.
