April 21st 2009
Hysterical Models

N
o, this isn’t a post about skinny girls so strung out on horse that they’re just not able to take one more photo shoot. It’s about climate change and computer models. Oh, and sell your shares in that Lake Meade houseboat rental business.
If the West continues to heat up and dry out, odds increase that the mighty Colorado River won’t be able to deliver all the water that’s been promised to millions who rely on it for their homes, farms and businesses, according to a new study.
Less runoff the snow and rain that fortify the 1,400-mile river caused by human-induced climate change could mean that by 2050 the Colorado won’t be able to provide all of its allocated water 60 percent to 90 percent of the time, according to two climate researchers at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography at the University of California at San Diego.
The more parched the landscape, the more difficult the choices will be for those with dibs on the Colorado’s water and those in charge of divvying it up, said Tim Barnett, lead author of the study.
”The dry year scenarios in the future are going to be absolutely brutal,” he said.
Barnett and fellow Scripps scientist David Pierce made waves last year with a study saying there’s a 50 percent chance that Lake Mead, the reservoir created by the Hoover Dam, could run dry by 2021. (source)
The results were mistakenly published in a scientific journal, the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science.
The Colorado is a major water source for Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah and Wyoming, so we obviously need to plan based on something. We also need to realize that the computer models favored by the Warmies did not predict the current cooling spell.
So let’s open up the science to all possibilities, run all sorts of models, admit errors in the models that fail, and see what we come up with. And here’s an idea: Let’s trying running the models backwards and see what sort of actual and prolonged weather events they miss. But, please, let’s not do this, from the same article:
Meanwhile, researchers will continue gathering information on climate change and looking for ways to keep the Colorado functioning albeit with a new set of climate-driven rules.
There are no climate-driven rules. There is just climate-driven speculation. Oh, wait. I do have one climate-driven rule: Build more water conveyance and water storage infrastructure. Whether it gets hotter or colder, we’re going to need it because our population is growing.
Of course, most Warmies, being Greenies, are earnestly seeking rules to make that impossible.
The most recent revelation reveals spy hackers going after F-35 fighter secrets, says the
Meanwhile, Obama did one of his classic “go talk to the people you just screwed” stints, reminiscent of
The President can’t get enough of blaming Bush for the country’s economic woes. In Europe, in Central America, in Turkey, here at home, it’s all about Bush; never mind the Dem policies that got us in this trouble, with cheerleading from Chris Dodd, Barney Frank, Maxine Waters and other Dems.

This week’s post,
(Allegedly), Luna was the front seat passenger in a 2000 Infiniti (allegedly) driven by his (probably drunk) wife, Claudia Cabrera, when they hit two pedestrians near USC on March 29. Adrianna Bachan, 18, right, died at the scene, and Marcus Garfinkle, 19, was severely injured, with two broken legs and lung contusions. Garfinkle remains hospitalized.
